Futures studies of Key Technologies in Iranian ICT Industry with Emphasis on Business Model Detection

Document Type : Original Article


1 Ph.D, Candidate, Tehran University.

2 MA, Tehran University.


futures studies is a systematic process for drawing the medium and long term future of science, technology, economy and society so that its purpose is a exploring of strategic research domains and discovering new technologies with profound effects on economy, industrial competitiveness, wealth creation and quality of life. In general, futures studies is included drawing of future in current time even in scenario formats, and opportunities and threats in the future. Since all opportunities aren’t available and some of them must be created and some of threats must be prevented, the organizations are forced to pay attention to opportunities in the future. In this paper, by reviewing related works and documents, foresight literature is done with a meta analysis approach. In the next step, several foresight frameworks that have been introduced by researchers and experts, is reviewed and analyzed. Finally, key technologies in Iranian ICT industry are presented by using of qualitative research methods. For this purpose by enjoying focus group tools, several meetings were held with 9 persons of University of Tehran and ITRC experts. In the end, some business models including mobile service, intelligent computers, electronic assistant and etc. are detected. These models are the result of Iranian key technologies recognition and their capabilities.


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